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#4488079 - 08/31/19 07:27 PM Re: Hurricane Dorian Not Likely To Hit Florida as a Cat 2 but rather as a Strong Cat 3 [Re: Haggart]  
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Living with the Trees
Oh, and Pleeeese don't go posting this cam elsewhere. Don't want it bandwidth killed by sociameditards. Cool, I made a new word!


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#4488084 - 08/31/19 09:16 PM Re: Hurricane Dorian Not Likely To Hit Florida as a Cat 2 but rather as a Strong Cat 3 [Re: Haggart]  
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oldgrognard Online content
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USA
And the wife and I had a very nice flight to Asheville. Only glitch was that my planned stop/fuel airfield (KVDI) had low cloud ceiling and I had to land at another field (KBHC). No problem. Just a minor deviation from my plan. Bathroom break for both of us, self-serve fuel, and back in the air. Then easy straight flight to KAVL. Less than 4 hours. Tomorrow tour the Baltimore Estate.

Wife is relieved that the changed path of the storm means no problem for our house or her sister. She was a little conflicted about going on the trip.


Good people sleep peaceably in their beds at night only because rough men stand ready to do violence on their behalf.

Someday your life will flash in front of your eyes. Make sure it is worth watching.
#4488092 - 08/31/19 10:58 PM Re: Hurricane Dorian Not Likely To Hit Florida as a Cat 2 but rather as a Strong Cat 3 [Re: oldgrognard]  
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Originally Posted by oldgrognard
Tomorrow tour the Baltimore Estate..


The Biltmore Estate is quite nice too wink


"In the vast library of socialist books, there’s not a single volume on how to create wealth, only how to take and “redistribute” it.” - David Horowitz
#4488094 - 08/31/19 11:13 PM Re: Hurricane Dorian Not Likely To Hit Florida as a Cat 2 but rather as a Strong Cat 3 [Re: Haggart]  
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Darn autocorrect


Good people sleep peaceably in their beds at night only because rough men stand ready to do violence on their behalf.

Someday your life will flash in front of your eyes. Make sure it is worth watching.
#4488105 - 09/01/19 02:12 AM Re: Hurricane Dorian Not Likely To Hit Florida as a Cat 2 but rather as a Strong Cat 3 [Re: oldgrognard]  
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Hotshot

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Florida
Originally Posted by oldgrognard
Darn autocorrect


Now, now... that's no way to talk about F4! neaner

#4488134 - 09/01/19 01:10 PM Re: Hurricane Dorian Not Likely To Hit Florida as a Cat 2 but rather as a Strong Cat 3 [Re: Haggart]  
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Nixer Offline
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Almost dead center and about to get hit with eyewall, Watch before it goes..




https://www.youtube.com/watch?reload=9&v=6RuhYgn41ms&feature=youtu.be


edit: nevermind. Looks like some view seeking sociameditard has posted some loop for views. banghead

Last edited by Nixer; 09/01/19 01:16 PM.

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#4488135 - 09/01/19 01:29 PM Re: Hurricane Dorian Not Likely To Hit Florida as a Cat 2 but rather as a Strong Cat 3 [Re: Haggart]  
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The Lone Star State
The Bahamas are about to get a complete re-make. Florida may get extremely lucky and dodge one big bullet.


"everything lives by a law, a central balance sustains all"
#4488138 - 09/01/19 01:42 PM Re: Hurricane Dorian Not Likely To Hit Florida as a Cat 2 but rather as a Strong Cat 3 [Re: Haggart]  
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I am almost on the WEST coast of FL and I sure don't feel lucky yet.

Take a look at this IBM sponsored and computed newer model.

Link

Yeah..just a model.

Models are what NHC's path is based on.


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#4488139 - 09/01/19 01:50 PM Re: Hurricane Dorian Not Likely To Hit Florida as a Cat 2 but rather as a Strong Cat 3 [Re: Haggart]  
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well let's hope that model is wrong !

9:30 AM EDT Sun Sep 1
Location: 26.5°N 76.6°W (ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA)
Moving: W at 8 mph
Min pressure: 922 mb
Max sustained: 175 mph

...EYEWALL OF NOW CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE DORIAN ABOUT TO
HIT THE ABACO ISLANDS WITH DEVASTATING WINDS...


"everything lives by a law, a central balance sustains all"
#4488140 - 09/01/19 02:02 PM Re: Hurricane Dorian Not Likely To Hit Florida as a Cat 2 but rather as a Strong Cat 3 [Re: Haggart]  
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The models NHC are basing their track on had it turning towards the north hours ago.

Still heading due west like a monster with a one track mind. Last minute evacuations from Florida and 10's of thousands of people will be caught by a possible Cat 5 Hurricane in their freakin cars! Now THAT is a nightmare scenario.

Geez, I am starting to sound like you Hag.

Last edited by Nixer; 09/01/19 02:02 PM. Reason: They don't teach spelling in college

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#4488141 - 09/01/19 02:08 PM Re: Hurricane Dorian Not Likely To Hit Florida as a Cat 2 but rather as a Strong Cat 3 [Re: Nixer]  
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Originally Posted by Nixer
The models NHC are basing their track on had it turning towards the north hours ago.

Still heading due west like a monster with a one track mind. Last minute evacuations from Florida and 10's of thousands of people will be caught by a possible Cat 5 Hurricane in their freakin cars! Now THAT is a nightmare scenario.

Geez, I am starting to sound like you Hag.


biggrin


"everything lives by a law, a central balance sustains all"
#4488143 - 09/01/19 02:32 PM Re: Hurricane Dorian Not Likely To Hit Florida as a Cat 2 but rather as a Strong Cat 3 [Re: Haggart]  
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Here's a functioning , for now, web cam in Freeport, Grand Bahama Island.

The monster approaches....and it IS becoming a monster of epic proportions.

https://unexso.com/?option=com_content&view=article&id=114


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#4488148 - 09/01/19 03:44 PM Re: Hurricane Dorian Not Likely To Hit Florida as a Cat 2 but rather as a Strong Cat 3 [Re: Haggart]  
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Folks on vacation at Disney World, and Trump orders evac of his Mar-a-Lago private club at Palm Beach...

NYT Dorian updates


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#4488174 - 09/01/19 11:58 PM Re: Hurricane Dorian Not Likely To Hit Florida as a Cat 2 but rather as a Strong Cat 3 [Re: Haggart]  
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Quote
and Trump orders evac of his Mar-a-Lago private club at Palm Beach...


LOL...Total BS.

Back to reality..and a scary, deadly reality it is.

Link

In a matter of hours, a community is destroyed. The Bahamas have long been a good neighbor and friend.

We need to help these people.


Last edited by Nixer; 09/01/19 11:59 PM. Reason: More stuff

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#4488178 - 09/02/19 01:20 AM Re: Hurricane Dorian Not Likely To Hit Florida as a Cat 2 but rather as a Strong Cat 3 [Re: RedOneAlpha]  
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Originally Posted by Red2112
Folks on vacation at Disney World, and Trump orders evac of his Mar-a-Lago private club at Palm Beach...


So Trump shows more concern for his employees than Disney does, good.


"In the vast library of socialist books, there’s not a single volume on how to create wealth, only how to take and “redistribute” it.” - David Horowitz
#4488179 - 09/02/19 01:21 AM Re: Hurricane Dorian Not Likely To Hit Florida as a Cat 2 but rather as a Strong Cat 3 [Re: Haggart]  
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Sorryw will have to click on the link. Those from Alabama don't exist anymore,

{img]https://scontent-dfw5-2.xx.fbcdn.ne...b1803eb50a2000ebc9001da1&oe=5E15040B[/img]

Last edited by KraziKanuK; 09/02/19 12:20 PM. Reason: don't post when very tired

There was only 16 squadrons of RAF fighters that used 100 octane during the BoB.
The Fw190A could not fly with the outer cannon removed.
There was no Fw190A-8s flying with the JGs in 1945.
#4488180 - 09/02/19 01:40 AM Re: Hurricane Dorian Not Likely To Hit Florida as a Cat 2 but rather as a Strong Cat 3 [Re: Haggart]  
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Nixer Offline
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Living with the Trees
Spent a little time in Georia...

The chicks were weird!

Something about a missing G.....


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#4488181 - 09/02/19 03:00 AM Re: Hurricane Dorian Not Likely To Hit Florida as a Cat 2 but rather as a Strong Cat 3 [Re: Haggart]  
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The Lone Star State
493
WTNT65 KNHC 020152
TCUAT5

Hurricane Dorian Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
1000 PM EDT Sun Sep 01 2019

...CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 DORIAN BEGINNING TO CROSS EASTERN
GRAND BAHAMA...

This is a life-threatening situation. Residents in the Abacos
should continue to stay in their shelter as the northern eyewall of
Dorian remains over the northern portion of the island. Residents in
eastern Grand Bahama are experiencing the western portion of
the eyewall. Do not leave your shelter as the eye passes over,
as winds will rapidly increase on the other side of the eye.
Conditions will continue to deteriorate over the remainder of Grand
Bahama Island tonight.

Hazards:
- Wind Gusts over 220 mph
- Storm Surge 18 to 23 feet above normal tide levels
with higher
destructive waves

These hazards will cause extreme destruction in the affected areas
and will continue for several hours.


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EDT...0200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.6N 77.8W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM E OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...185 MPH...295 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...915 MB...27.02 INCHES


"everything lives by a law, a central balance sustains all"
#4488182 - 09/02/19 03:05 AM Re: Hurricane Dorian Not Likely To Hit Florida as a Cat 2 but rather as a Strong Cat 3 [Re: Haggart]  
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JimK Offline
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Originally Posted by Haggart
493
WTNT65 KNHC 020152
TCUAT5

Hurricane Dorian Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
1000 PM EDT Sun Sep 01 2019

...CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 DORIAN BEGINNING TO CROSS EASTERN
GRAND BAHAMA...

This is a life-threatening situation. Residents in the Abacos
should continue to stay in their shelter as the northern eyewall of
Dorian remains over the northern portion of the island. Residents in
eastern Grand Bahama are experiencing the western portion of
the eyewall. Do not leave your shelter as the eye passes over,
as winds will rapidly increase on the other side of the eye.
Conditions will continue to deteriorate over the remainder of Grand
Bahama Island tonight.

Hazards:
- Wind Gusts over 220 mph
- Storm Surge 18 to 23 feet above normal tide levels
with higher
destructive waves

These hazards will cause extreme destruction in the affected areas
and will continue for several hours.


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EDT...0200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.6N 77.8W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM E OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...185 MPH...295 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...915 MB...27.02 INCHES


jawdrop


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#4488192 - 09/02/19 11:56 AM Re: Hurricane Dorian Not Likely To Hit Florida as a Cat 2 but rather as a Strong Cat 3 [Re: Haggart]  
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WhoCares Offline
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Considering that the islands of the Bahamas are mostly just about 49-66ft average height, a 18-23ft surge might already devastate significant parts, let alone the winds and rain. And considering that it moves very slow (down to ~1kn I just read somewhere), it must be hell there. And it looks like it is going to crawl all along the island… <nosuitableemojisthatwouldproperlyexpressthefearsandwishes>

Last edited by WhoCares; 09/02/19 11:59 AM.
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