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#4342146 - 03/05/17 11:54 AM Re: 15 Worst Tech Predictions Of All Time [Re: F4UDash4]  
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#4342150 - 03/05/17 12:36 PM Re: 15 Worst Tech Predictions Of All Time [Re: Ssnake]  
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Originally Posted by Ssnake


That being said, I think that Admiral Grace Hopper was worth listening to. She was both cautious making predictions, but bold where she did, and usually was right about it. Also, she always carried a piece of cable with her to explain to people around her what a microsecond was.


A nanosecond, I expect. A microsecond is quite a lot of cable ...and a millisecond is transatlantic sort of range.
"Nanosecond per foot" is a standard mnemonic.

#4342151 - 03/05/17 12:38 PM Re: 15 Worst Tech Predictions Of All Time [Re: WhoCares]  
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Originally Posted by WhoCares


And w.r.t. horse and cars, there is a similar quote from Kaiser Wilhelm II. 1912: "I believe in horses, the automobile hype will pass."


I'm pretty certain that neither Wilhelm nor his translator used the word "hype".

#4342191 - 03/05/17 05:02 PM Re: 15 Worst Tech Predictions Of All Time [Re: PV1]  
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Originally Posted by PV1
Originally Posted by Ssnake


That being said, I think that Admiral Grace Hopper was worth listening to. She was both cautious making predictions, but bold where she did, and usually was right about it. Also, she always carried a piece of cable with her to explain to people around her what a microsecond was.


A nanosecond, I expect. A microsecond is quite a lot of cable ...and a millisecond is transatlantic sort of range.

You're right about the nanosecond, but she actually DID once bring a cable drum to a meeting to demonstrate the microsecond. biggrin


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#4342239 - 03/05/17 10:10 PM Re: 15 Worst Tech Predictions Of All Time [Re: Falstar]  
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Originally Posted by Falstar
Originally Posted by PanzerMeyer
Thanks for clearing that up FourSpeed. The correct quote does indeed exonerate Bill Gates of any buffoonery. smile He was obviously referring to what the needs of the consumer market would be for that time.


All was good until Falcon 3.0 and Quarterdeck EMM came along.


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#4342288 - 03/06/17 05:54 AM Re: 15 Worst Tech Predictions Of All Time [Re: F4UDash4]  
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No, he never said that, and it was 64K.

#4342309 - 03/06/17 11:56 AM Re: 15 Worst Tech Predictions Of All Time [Re: F4UDash4]  
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Worst tech prediction? How about all of the big sci-fi authors and scientists who thought we would have full blown colonization of the moon and Mars by the year 2000 or so?


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#4342313 - 03/06/17 12:06 PM Re: 15 Worst Tech Predictions Of All Time [Re: F4UDash4]  
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I don't think even sci-fi authors considered that mankind would simply just shut down the space projects.


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#4342319 - 03/06/17 01:30 PM Re: 15 Worst Tech Predictions Of All Time [Re: F4UDash4]  
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#4342354 - 03/06/17 04:19 PM Re: 15 Worst Tech Predictions Of All Time [Re: DM]  
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Originally Posted by DM
I don't think even sci-fi authors considered that mankind would simply just shut down the space projects.


They mistakenly believed historical precedent would apply--once humans reach a new frontier, they embrace it and never retreat.

Until space.



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