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#4188894 - 10/31/15 11:09 AM Russian airliner crashes in central Sinai.  
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RedToo Offline
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Probably no survivors. Plane had problems and was trying to land at local airport after taking off from Sharm el-Sheikh, bound for St Petersburg.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-34687139

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-34687309

RedToo.

Last edited by RedToo; 10/31/15 11:10 AM. Reason: link added.

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#4188907 - 10/31/15 12:10 PM Re: Russian airliner crashes in central Sinai. [Re: RedToo]  
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Vitesse Offline
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My family are at Sharm el-Sheikh this week, flying back Monday.

I suspect airlines operating there are going to be extra careful for a while. Not nice. Doesn't look like anything terrorist related a the moment, unless they've got some serious hardware.

#4188979 - 10/31/15 04:22 PM Re: Russian airliner crashes in central Sinai. [Re: RedToo]  
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ISIS has the cash to get some mobile SAM units like the SA-9 or SA-11.

I believe this is retribution for Russia's involvement in Syria.


“Whoever fights monsters should see to it that in the process he does not become a monster. And if you gaze long enough into an abyss, the abyss will gaze back into you.”
#4188999 - 10/31/15 05:06 PM Re: Russian airliner crashes in central Sinai. [Re: PanzerMeyer]  
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Originally Posted By: PanzerMeyer
ISIS has the cash to get some mobile SAM units like the SA-9 or SA-11.

I believe this is retribution for Russia's involvement in Syria.


http://www.flightradar24.com/blog/crash-of-metrojet-flight-7k9268/

I doubt that short range SAMs such as the SA-9/11 could engage an airliner at 33,000 ft. More like 11,000 - 12,000 ft. I also doubt that IS-affiliated terror groups (Ansar Beit al-Makdis, who claimed responsibility via Twitter) in the Sinai have any surface to air missiles, especially of the kind that could shoot down an airliner at cruising altitude.

Never say never, but this scenario does not seem very likely to me ATM.



Why men throw their lives away attacking an armed Witcher... I'll never know. Something wrong with my face?
#4189013 - 10/31/15 05:37 PM Re: Russian airliner crashes in central Sinai. [Re: RedToo]  
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Vitesse Offline
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There's been a video posted claiming a shootdown. Considering the hardware required and it's maintenance / operation I'm thinking it is unlikely but there are other considerations.

Not happy having my family flying in that region. .

#4189022 - 10/31/15 06:11 PM Re: Russian airliner crashes in central Sinai. [Re: Jayhawk]  
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Originally Posted By: Jayhawk
Originally Posted By: PanzerMeyer
ISIS has the cash to get some mobile SAM units like the SA-9 or SA-11.

I believe this is retribution for Russia's involvement in Syria.


http://www.flightradar24.com/blog/crash-of-metrojet-flight-7k9268/

I doubt that short range SAMs such as the SA-9/11 could engage an airliner at 33,000 ft. More like 11,000 - 12,000 ft. I also doubt that IS-affiliated terror groups (Ansar Beit al-Makdis, who claimed responsibility via Twitter) in the Sinai have any surface to air missiles, especially none of the kind that could shoot down an airliner at cruising altitude.

Never say never, but this scenario does not seem very likely to me ATM.



Even the earliest model Buk SAM can reach over 45K feet, however assuming this is not an accident I would be inclined to go with sabotage rather than a missile, if not by way of ISIS then perhaps an intelligence agency?

#4189024 - 10/31/15 06:13 PM Re: Russian airliner crashes in central Sinai. [Re: Crane Hunter]  
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Originally Posted By: Crane Hunter
Originally Posted By: Jayhawk
Originally Posted By: PanzerMeyer
ISIS has the cash to get some mobile SAM units like the SA-9 or SA-11.

I believe this is retribution for Russia's involvement in Syria.


http://www.flightradar24.com/blog/crash-of-metrojet-flight-7k9268/

I doubt that short range SAMs such as the SA-9/11 could engage an airliner at 33,000 ft. More like 11,000 - 12,000 ft. I also doubt that IS-affiliated terror groups (Ansar Beit al-Makdis, who claimed responsibility via Twitter) in the Sinai have any surface to air missiles, especially none of the kind that could shoot down an airliner at cruising altitude.

Never say never, but this scenario does not seem very likely to me ATM.



Even the earliest model Buk SAM can reach over 45K feet, however assuming this is not an accident I would be inclined to go with sabotage rather than a missile, if not by way of ISIS then perhaps an intelligence agency?


I find it hard to believe that the Egyptian Army - or Egypt's neighbor Israel - would allow some obscure terrorist group to own and operate SA-6s.


Why men throw their lives away attacking an armed Witcher... I'll never know. Something wrong with my face?
#4189029 - 10/31/15 06:29 PM Re: Russian airliner crashes in central Sinai. [Re: RedToo]  
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I fly to/from Sharm at least once a year and i can tell you Egyptian airport security is pretty serious. I doubt you could sneak a butterfly knife in you luggage, nevermind a bomb. Obviously SAM is out of the question.

Just regular terrorist propaganda, same old.

Terrain really rugged, not the best place for a forced landing


#4189096 - 10/31/15 08:54 PM Re: Russian airliner crashes in central Sinai. [Re: RedToo]  
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Could be a bomb, more likely shoddy maintenance by local contractors owed money by a cash-tight Russian airline.

#4189162 - 11/01/15 12:20 AM Re: Russian airliner crashes in central Sinai. [Re: RedToo]  
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Poor souls.

At least they possibly had a nice vacation before.

RIP.


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#4189177 - 11/01/15 02:05 AM Re: Russian airliner crashes in central Sinai. [Re: RedToo]  
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Massive decompression leading to breakup. From the radar tracking site and was at cruising
Altitude and speed and suddenly it dropped way below flight speed and dropped like a rock.

Did someone decide to get out ? Something inside the plane caused decompression. To be found
in 2 sections it separated at height.


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#4189178 - 11/01/15 02:14 AM Re: Russian airliner crashes in central Sinai. [Re: RedToo]  
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Is it Monday already?

#4189233 - 11/01/15 10:57 AM Re: Russian airliner crashes in central Sinai. [Re: RedToo]  
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The plane in question suffered a tailstrike some years ago. If not properly repaired, those can lead to a weakening of the rear pressure bulkhead. That said, it's far too early to say anything about what happened. Will be interesting to see what the flight recorder data says.


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#4189284 - 11/01/15 02:21 PM Re: Russian airliner crashes in central Sinai. [Re: Wireman]  
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Originally Posted By: Wireman
Is it Monday already?


Nice one!


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#4189310 - 11/01/15 03:31 PM Re: Russian airliner crashes in central Sinai. [Re: RedToo]  
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Those poor people, may they rest in piece.


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#4189359 - 11/01/15 06:06 PM Re: Russian airliner crashes in central Sinai. [Re: RedToo]  
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PanzerMeyer Online centaurian
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Have Pravda or RT News blamed the US yet?


“Whoever fights monsters should see to it that in the process he does not become a monster. And if you gaze long enough into an abyss, the abyss will gaze back into you.”
#4189404 - 11/01/15 09:14 PM Re: Russian airliner crashes in central Sinai. [Re: RedToo]  
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#4189410 - 11/01/15 09:31 PM Re: Russian airliner crashes in central Sinai. [Re: RedToo]  
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It's funny how at some point people blamed passenger jets such as Tu-154 as unsafe, and now Russians switching to really old Airbuses and Boeing's. And in the end same problem persists, poor maintenance results in crashes.

Last edited by ObvilionLost; 11/01/15 09:33 PM.
#4189613 - 11/02/15 01:03 PM Re: Russian airliner crashes in central Sinai. [Re: RedToo]  
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They are now saying an "External Impact" caused the crash.


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#4189615 - 11/02/15 01:07 PM Re: Russian airliner crashes in central Sinai. [Re: Warbirds]  
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PanzerMeyer Online centaurian
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Originally Posted By: Warbirds
They are now saying an "External Impact" caused the crash.


Yikes. The shi* has hit the fan.


“Whoever fights monsters should see to it that in the process he does not become a monster. And if you gaze long enough into an abyss, the abyss will gaze back into you.”
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