The dimensions of most APFSDS penetrators are reasonably well known, e.g. by looking at photos and establishing the rod diameter and projectile length from the surrounding sabot which usually is the only known dimension (=120mm). Of course you're still limited to the pixel resolution of the image (or the grain of the wet film), eventual camera lens distortions, and digital manipulation of the image (e.g. by stretching it subtly).
Still, with these figures at had you can usually establish an upper and lower margin of the perforation performance if you enter the figures at Willi
Odermatt's perforation calculator.
For that however you need suitable image material. Care to check
how much one can find on the interwebs that allows to make a decent estimation of the various dimensions? I'm not saying that you are
wrong, but your argument is based on plausibility alone and doesn't present anything verifiable. The UK MoD is decidedly fuzzy and restrictive with the information that is made public. We have to live with that, and one of the consequences is this debate about our estimate. Again: I welcome any verifiable new information that sheds more light on the issue.
In sum all done publicly in this area is a "factual guessing" so other people can tell you that for instance German APFSDS penetration values in SBPro PE are overestimated because many other factual estimations suggest so
Ah, so we're now casting majority votes about the truth?
if you don't have access to top secret data (or even if you had, you obviously could not disclose them) the only remaining solution is fresh, logical thinking in historical context
You are right - I cannot disclose the basis of our estimate. This is very unfortunate since it obviously undermines the credibility of my arguments. I wish I could tell more. Even then however, there are still alternatives to "fresh, logical thinking in historical context" (not that there's anything inherently wrong with it - except that logic, if not rooted solidly in a factual basis, can easily suspend itself from reality). The alternative is to keep digging for information in archives and other places for more facts that help to establish a solid base for estimations. They can then lead to reviews of the current estimate. I'm all for it.
I think Chally-2 fans are very disappointed as I have read in this flame thread
Again: Our work is not a popularity contest. We try to be as diligent as the surrounding conditions allow us to be. I also don't understand the referenced thread as a flame war. It was a spirited, lively debate where a few users expressed dissatisfaction with various aspects of our model. Most of these cognitive dissonances could be resolved on the pages that you didn't bother to read (per your own statement). One player didn't like the mobility, but we're just using the same mass and engine power output formula that we're using for all other tanks as well, with well established parameters that nobody disputed. Some thought that the Challenger was fragile when in fact it is the by far best protected combat vehicle in SB Pro. One user brought up a Discovery channel clip to refute our model. I tried to analyze the the clip and demonstrated, convincingly I hope, that the model in SB Pro conforms with every single factual statement in the film, and where the film presented mere
opinions as facts.
At the end of the day the question is: Is there any better model of the Challenger 2 available in virtual simulations?
Our model may have its weaknesses, but show me where else you can play one without having to make other serious concessions to the overall fidelity. I'm not here to tell you that everything is roses with SB Pro, and that we have reached a state of perfection that elevates us above the criticism of you mere mortals. What I'm telling you is that we keep digging for a better factual grounding, and that we will honestly and critically review our work in the light of new facts. Give me something to work with, and if it casts a new light on the situation, we will adapt. I don't think that anyone who is serious about fidelity in modeling and simulation can offer a better deal.